Conference Paper: Early identification of SE-related program risks

Title:  Early Identification of SE-Related Program Risks

Publication Date: 3/15/2010

Conference 8th Annual Conference on Systems Engineering Research (CSER), Hoboken, NJ, March 2010.


This paper summarizes the results of a DoD Systems Engineering Research Center (SERC) project to synthesize analyses of DoD SE effectiveness risk sources into a lean framework and toolset for early identification of SE-related program risks. It includes concepts of operation which enable project sponsors and performers to agree on the nature and use of more effective evidence-based reviews. These enable early detection of missing SE capabilities or personnel competencies with respect to a framework of Goals, Critical Success Factors (CSFs), and Questions determined from leading DoD early-SE CSF analyses. The SE Effectiveness Measurement (EM) tools enable risk-based prioritization of corrective actions, as shortfalls in evidence for each question are early uncertainties, which when combined with the relative system impact of a negative answer to the question, translates into the degree of risk that needs to be managed to avoid system overruns and incomplete deliveries.